Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 2.162847 2.479108 2.827824 3.241232 3.718481 4.252751 4.897085
2025-06-15 1.664935 2.084817 2.592148 3.252013 4.090238 5.123008 6.497444
2025-06-22 1.364472 1.813098 2.389631 3.188240 4.271308 5.696845 7.728383
2025-06-29 1.167118 1.627276 2.248993 3.155658 4.453154 6.256624 8.977182
2025-07-06 1.008982 1.465758 2.109918 3.091800 4.563678 6.708613 10.108851
2025-07-13 0.951591 1.435650 2.145803 3.273574 5.038724 7.727210 12.192272
2025-07-20 0.861458 1.343827 2.076700 3.283746 5.247149 8.358235 13.746173
2025-07-27 0.807117 1.299117 2.071593 3.388318 5.609557 9.263766 15.849964
2025-08-03 0.738990 1.223851 2.008259 3.387984 5.794553 9.892731 17.556500
2025-08-10 0.675742 1.149186 1.936806 3.363466 5.931065 10.447753 19.193209
2025-08-17 0.614837 1.071782 1.852019 3.304693 5.997100 10.880289 20.651238
2025-08-24 0.580829 1.037447 1.837409 3.367842 6.288221 11.748185 23.037117
2025-08-31 0.542632 0.996232 1.814329 3.428459 6.612321 12.774680 26.002834
2025-09-07 0.499885 0.942977 1.765389 3.438374 6.848823 13.681639 28.910010
2025-09-14 0.453029 0.876238 1.682854 3.370836 6.918811 14.259654 31.204988
2025-09-21 0.415636 0.823510 1.621027 3.336291 7.050184 14.978492 33.917654
2025-09-28 0.379059 0.768271 1.547873 3.268596 7.100618 15.528062 36.328272
2025-10-05 0.371766 0.771977 1.594562 3.461303 7.746228 17.476863 42.358048
2025-10-12 0.348149 0.738772 1.560410 3.472087 7.981293 18.521924 46.351145
2025-10-19 0.335165 0.726923 1.570379 3.582964 8.463111 20.211485 52.259054
2025-10-26 0.314360 0.695626 1.534297 3.582610 8.677894 21.283465 56.729968
2025-11-02 0.293541 0.662133 1.489731 3.556612 8.825789 22.208496 60.960540
2025-11-09 0.272092 0.625015 1.433023 3.494297 8.873591 22.883344 64.608136